I try to make the tenon just slightly larger then the final foot of the vessel. If you have a large bowl that requires a 5-6" base, and you use a 2-3" tenon, then you will have to turn that tenon away later and you lose that wood. Sometimes that is fine, other times you might want that extra wood. I then use the appropriate jaws that fit that tenon the best. That way I am starting off with everything in my favor limiting the potential for problems. Every step you can take that minimizes risk will help you along the way.
I do a fair amount of teaching and I will say the number one cause of bowls flying off the lathe is incorrectly made tenons. Specifically the shoulder not being flat, square and sharp. You can err quite a lot on jaw sizes etc, but if the tenon is not made correctly you are prone to problems.
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